I am an Economist at IMF's Research Department. I received my PhD in Economics from the University of Rochester.
My main research interests focus in International Economics and Macroeconomics.
University of Rochester
Principles of Economics
(Undergraduate) Summer 2020: Instructor
Macroeconomics
(Graduate) Fall 2018, 2019, 2020: Teaching Assistant
Money, Credit and Banking
(Undergraduate) Spring 2019: Teaching Assistant
Pricing Policies
(Graduate) Fall 2018, 2019: Teaching Assistant (Simon Business school)
Intermediate Macroeconomics
(Undergraduate) Spring 2018: Teaching Assistant
Working papers
International Trade, Volatility, and Income Differences
(Submitted)
This paper offers a unified explanation for two puzzles in international trade: the limited participation of developing
countries in international trade and the negative correlation between firm-level sales volatility and exports. By
extending the standard heterogeneous firm trade model with variable price-demand elasticity and exporter dynamics, the
"Oi-Hartman-Abel" effect present in standard models reverses; profit reductions during downturns outweigh boom-time
gains. This causes firms in volatile economies to be discouraged from exporting and expanding into foreign markets.
Consequently, volatility reduces aggregate exports and total income, explaining nearly two-thirds of the unexplained
export differences across development levels and 75% of the observed relationship between firm-level sales volatility
and exports.
Real Exchange Rate Uncertainty Matters
I introduce a novel forward-looking measure of real exchange rate uncertainty (RERU) and examine its effects on
international trade. I show that rising RERU triggers a precautionary response from exporters: export intensity and
entry to new markets decline, while export prices and exit increase. My empirical results show that these microeconomic
adjustments are primarily driven by exporters facing higher interest rates. To capture these dynamic responses, I
develop a sunk-cost trade model with heterogeneous firms and firm-specific default risk. Increased RERU exposes
exporters to greater financial vulnerability, who hedge against this risk by increasing markups or exiting the export
market, which explains my documented facts. Quantitatively, the model predicts a standard deviation increase in RERU
reduces total exports by 6%.
Fighting Income Inequality With International Trade
(with Victor Hernandez and Nicholas Kozeniauskas)
How does international trade affect the wage distribution across workers? We use detailed
employer-employee covering 1987 to 2004 to answer this question. Using a new instrumental
variable approach to disentangle the effects that trade openness has over the distribution
of income and wages, we document that an increase in local trade exposure reduces wage inequality.
Furthermore, we show that this result is associated with changes happening at the within-industry
and within-firm levels. These changes lead to increases in the relative demand for low-wage and
low-skill type of worker. At the within-industry level, we show that trade openness reallocates workers
towards small firms and low-skilled jobs. At the within-firm level, we find that small firms increase
their labor intensity and the average amount of workers, while larger firms reduce it in response to
changes in trade openness. We argue that these firm-level responses are the root of the increase in
the relative demand for low-wage workers.
Selected work in progress
Pricing to Clients and the Pass-Through of Shocks
(with Armen Khederlarian)
Most of the studies on exporter's pricing behavior focus on discrimination across markets.
Less attention has been paid to how firms price discriminate across their portfolio of customers.
Using novel firm-to-firm transaction level data from Colombian exports, we document three facts.
First, price dispersion at the seller-product level is non-negligible and a large fraction of it is
accounted for by within destination variation. Second, clients with larger shares in the exporters'
past revenues pay lower prices and their prices are adjusted more frequently. Third, prices paid by
the largest clients are less sensitive to fluctuations in the exchange rate, especially when the currency
appreciates. These results illustrate that firms actively price discriminate across
their buyers and offer more favorable terms to their largest clients. We rationalize these
facts with a model of heterogeneous buyers and sellers, costly search, random matching and menu costs.